Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000631 0.000719 0.000811 0.000916 0.001032 0.001155 0.001296
2025-10-05 0.000512 0.000636 0.000776 0.000945 0.001143 0.001365 0.001633
2025-10-12 0.000443 0.000585 0.000752 0.000962 0.001217 0.001513 0.001882
2025-10-19 0.000380 0.000530 0.000714 0.000954 0.001255 0.001615 0.002076
2025-10-26 0.000329 0.000482 0.000677 0.000940 0.001280 0.001698 0.002243
2025-11-02 0.000295 0.000453 0.000661 0.000949 0.001330 0.001809 0.002447
2025-11-09 0.000265 0.000424 0.000641 0.000950 0.001368 0.001905 0.002632
2025-11-16 0.000228 0.000383 0.000600 0.000919 0.001361 0.001938 0.002736
2025-11-23 0.000199 0.000349 0.000567 0.000894 0.001359 0.001978 0.002847
2025-11-30 0.000179 0.000327 0.000549 0.000891 0.001384 0.002052 0.003004
2025-12-07 0.000163 0.000309 0.000535 0.000890 0.001413 0.002132 0.003169
2025-12-14 0.000146 0.000289 0.000516 0.000881 0.001427 0.002191 0.003306
2025-12-21 0.000129 0.000268 0.000494 0.000866 0.001433 0.002239 0.003431
2025-12-28 0.000123 0.000264 0.000499 0.000891 0.001501 0.002375 0.003681
2026-01-04 0.000116 0.000257 0.000497 0.000908 0.001553 0.002491 0.003905
2026-01-11 0.000104 0.000241 0.000482 0.000900 0.001568 0.002552 0.004053
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000226 0.000464 0.000887 0.001575 0.002600 0.004182
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000218 0.000459 0.000895 0.001614 0.002697 0.004382
2026-02-01 0.000080 0.000208 0.000450 0.000896 0.001642 0.002777 0.004560
2026-02-08 0.000070 0.000190 0.000425 0.000866 0.001619 0.002779 0.004621
2026-02-15 0.000061 0.000175 0.000403 0.000843 0.001604 0.002793 0.004700
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000166 0.000394 0.000839 0.001622 0.002857 0.004855
2026-03-01 0.000051 0.000159 0.000386 0.000839 0.001645 0.002929 0.005023